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Tropical Storm Josephine has formed in the Atlantic and forecasters say there is a high potential of an explosion of activity coming at the end of August that could rival the historic 2005 hurricane season.
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Forecasters say that several weather patterns that favor storm formation are starting to line up in the Atlantic, bringing a high potential for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season to become “hyperactive.” The level of activity is anticipated to rival that of the 2005 Atlantic hurricane season, which was the most active in recorded history, USA Today reports.
The 2005 Atlantic hurricane season had 31 tropical or subtropical cyclones, as well as 27 named storms.
Forecasters say several weather patterns are starting to take shape which favor storm formation.
A couple of the typical patterns meteorologists see that are beginning to form are unusually warm sea water in the Atlantic, which is the essential fuel hurricanes need for development, as well as weakening wind shear.
As we near the end of August, there is expected to be last Saharan dust in the atmosphere, a lack of dry air, as well as lower atmospheric pressure in the Atlantic. All of these factors will aid in the development of tropical storms and hurricanes.
Last week, hurricane experts at Colorado State University (CSU) predicted a total of 24 named storms in 2020, including 12 hurricanes and five major hurricanes of Category 3 or higher, CBS News reports. Each of these figures is nearly double the amount of a normal hurricane season.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) also upgraded its forecast for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season last week, predicting an 85% chance of an “above normal” hurricane season, NPR reports.
The NOAA has increased its estimate to speculate 19 to 25 named storms, 7 to 11 of the named storms becoming hurricanes, (having sustained winds of at least 74 mph), and believe 3 to 6 named storms will become major hurricanes (winds of 111 miles per hour or higher).
Tropical Storm Josephine formed of the Atlantic on Thursday morning, setting a record as the earliest “J-named” storm in a season.
As of Friday morning, Josephine has maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, Click Orlando reports. The wind speed is just one mile-per-hour above the minimum threshold for classification as a tropical storm. Josephine was located roughly 680 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands.
The storm track puts Josephine north of Puerto Rico on Sunday and is not expected to impact the island. By Monday into Tuesday, Josephine is expected to make a northeasterly turn back toward the middle of the Atlantic keeping it far from any islands or the United States.
